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Fed Fears Long Recession
The Fed projects GDP to decline in 2009 "as a whole", and unemployment to "rise significantly into 2010". The Fed also expects disinflationary pressures to continue into 2010. From the FOMC Minutes : In the forecast prepared for the meeting, the staff ...
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 Earnings Estimates Fall
Earnings Estimates Fall
If you missed John Mauldin’s weekend piece ( 2008: Annus Horribilis, RIP ), have a look at these estimates for earnings in 2008. They started at $92 (early ‘07) and came down to $48: > Not exactly confidence inspiring when it ...

Federal Reserve Latest Blog Posts (more)

Recession: In For a Long Haul?
6 hours ago at Winds of Change.NET
Fed considers inflation target
7 hours ago at FT Alphaville
The Credit Crunch That Isn’t
12 hours ago at Daily Markets
US FOMC Minutes Highlights: Significant Contraction In Economic Activity
12 hours ago at Daily Markets
Not That Word
13 hours ago at Bear Mountain Bull
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 Kenneth Rogoff Interview - The Region - Publications & Papers | The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Kenneth Rogoff Interview - The Region - Publications & Papers | The Federal Reserve Bank of ...
Fresh out of graduate school, Kenneth Rogoff went to work at the Federal Reserve Board in Washington, D.C. Within months, he had overturned conventional wisdom about the forecasting power of exchange rate models. "We find," he wrote with Richard ...
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FAQs: MBS Purchase Program - Federal Reserve Bank of New York
The following frequently asked questions (FAQs) provide further information about the program to purchase agency mortgage-backed securities (agency MBS) that was announced by the Federal Reserve on November 25, 2008. This agency MBS program will be ...
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Fed has abandoned monetary policy, critic says
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve has embarked on a campaign of unsupervised industrial policy to end the country's financial crisis, a move that could undermine its independence, a former top U.S. official said on Saturday. John Taylor, ...
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Fed has abandoned monetary policy, critic says
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve has embarked on a campaign of unsupervised industrial policy to end the country's financial crisis, a move that could undermine its independence, a former top U.S. official said on Saturday. John Taylor, ...
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 Woefully Misleading Piece on Value at Risk in New York Times
Woefully Misleading Piece on Value at Risk in New York Times
The New York Times Sunday Magazine has a long piece by Joe Nocera on value at risk models , which tries to assess how much they can be held accountable for risk management failures on Wall Street. The piece so badly misses the basics about VaR that ...
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Video: Jan 4 - The Week Ahead
A look at the stocks, stories aand data that could have the biggest impact in the coming week.
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Fed aims to buy $500 billion in MBS by mid-year
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve on Tuesday moved forward aggressively with an effort to drive down mortgage costs, setting a goal of buying $500 billion in mortgage-backed securities by mid-2009. The central bank said it would start ...
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AIG Seeks Fed Relief on Asset Sales
AIG, the insurer bailed out by the US government, is prepared to ask the Federal Reserve to relax rules on its $60bn-plus disposals programme to allow bidders to use a greater proportion of shares to pay for its assets. People close to the ...
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Fed Goes All In for Mortgage-Backed Securities
The U.S. Federal Reserve on Tuesday moved forward aggressively with an effort to drive down mortgage costs, setting a goal of buying $500 billion in mortgage-backed securities by mid-2009. The central bank said it would start buying the securities ...
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GMAC: A Mini-AIG in the Making?
Dwight Cass at BreakingViews makes some astute and troubling observations about the GMAC rescue, which spurred a market rally in the face of truly awful economic releases (one might take the cynical view that, given how thin trading is this week ...
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Nice work, if you can get it
The Federal Reserve will print money to buy $500 billion worth of mortgage-backed securities by June, specifically MBS issued by Fannie, Freddie and their sister Ginnie Mae. And guess who the Fed has hired to manage the purchases? PIMCO, ...
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GMAC Decision by the Fed is a Travesty
In our latest comment in The Institutional Risk Analyst , we comment on the Fed’s approval of GMAC’s application to be a bank holding company: “Following that line of thinking, the Fed’s 4-1 approval of the GMAC application to become ...
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Federal Reserve MBS Purchases
The Federal Reserve announced the asset managers who will guide the Fed’s purchase of $500 billion of MBS. The purchases will begin early in January and will conclude by the end of June. Here is a link to the FAQ on the topic at the Fed ...
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 The bailout boomtown
The bailout boomtown
The Washington Post reports on one of the bright spots to the year-long financial crisis. As the Financial Bailouts Grow, So Does the Fed Real estate analysts have predicted that federal bailouts could be a boon for Washington commercial space, as ...
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The Fed Cannot Create Economic Growth
Some lessons from the Nixon days.
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GMAC Stays Mum on Bond Deal
Two days after a crucial deadline passed, GMAC, the financing arm of General Motors, remained silent Sunday over whether bondholders had approved a plan that would help provide GMAC with federal bailout money. GMAC bondholders had a midnight ...
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NY Times on Possible CRE Bailout
From the NY Times: A Wish List for Commercial Real Estate Commercial real estate groups have been meeting with members of Congress, the Federal Reserve, the Treasury, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation as well as Mr. Obama’s transition team, ...
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Bad Precedent: The Long-Term Capital Bailout
Over the years, I have frequently disagreed with Tyler Cowen. I always find his subject matter intriguing, but I invariably seem to end up on the opposite side of the trade from him, most notably on the subject of Predatory Borrowing . Today, ...

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